MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 32

PERSPECTIVES
Stelzleni, professor in Meat Science, Muscle
Biology and a graduate coordinator at the
University of Georgia.
" Projections
for 2025 are
changing
almost every
week, every
couple of
weeks. "
- ALEX STELZLENI
PUSHING PORK
The USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS)
forecast world production of pork to decline in
2025 by .8% to 115.1 million tonnes as China's
and the European Union's offset the United
States', Vietnam's and Brazil's production
growth for next year.
Domestic production in the United States
was forecast to grow by 2% in 2025 and reach
12.9 tonnes due to the increase in the number
of animals slaughtered and an increase of the
number of pigs per litter. Another contributing
factor to the positive outlook is lower feed
costs that are expected to support increased
pig weights.
FAS also projected US pork exports to
increase by 3.4% in 2025 to 3.4 mega-tons
due to the ample domestic supply and strong
competitiveness in export pricing. On Sept. 1,
2024, USDA showed the US hog inventory up
0.5% from the prior year. This included hogs
kept for breeding being down 2.2% and hogs for
slaughter up 0.7%. The lower breeding numbers
will keep expansion of pork production low.
Slaughter hog prices were projected to average
$58 per cwt in 2025 with prices forecast to
strengthen later in the year after a weak first
quarter. Average per cwt pricing is down 3%
32 MEAT+POULTRY | 01.25 | www.meatpoultry.com
next year from $59.80 in 2024 and down 1%
from $58.59 per cwt in 2023.
Stelzleni's specialty is beef, but he noted
that forecasts coming from the USDA,
or any entity that uses past and present
factors for an analysis of future events, are
constantly changing.
" Projections for 2025 are changing almost
every week, every couple of weeks, " he said.
" They come in and update them. There's a lot
of factors playing into that. "
EYES ON BEEF
The common feeling throughout the industry
is that the future of beef is somewhat " fragile "
right now. In the short term, cattle weights
coming through the system will remain heavy,
if not slightly increase, Stelzleni said. These
signals indicate the industry will not see a
rebuilding of the herd.
" I think we're going to continue to see the
herd decline and kind of maintain, hopefully a
little bit, from the 2024-2025 projections, " he
added. " We're seeing more females going on
to feed which is an indicator that folks aren't
quite ready to retain those females and put
them back and go into expansion. "
Also, the stall of herd expansion might
have something to do with the current price of
cattle, and the prices forecast to go up. While
prices might not go up as much as they have
in the most recent past, as inventory goes
Carrie - stock.adobe.com

http://stock.adobe.com http://www.meatpoultry.com

MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025

MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - Intro
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - FC1
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - FC2
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 1
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 2
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 3
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 4
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 5
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 6
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 7
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 8
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 9
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 10
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 11
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 12
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 13
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 14
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 15
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 16
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 17
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 18
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 19
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 20
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 21
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 22
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 23
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 24
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 25
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MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 27
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 28
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 29
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 30
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 31
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 32
MEAT+POULTRY - January 2025 - 33
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https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2025
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/ippe-preshow-december-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-december-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2024
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-december-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-meat-trends-technology-july-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2023
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-december-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-beef-trends-technology-september-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-meat-alternative-trends-and-technology-may-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-bacon-trends-technology-march-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-february-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-january-2022
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/-meatpoultry-december-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-november-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-october-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-ground-meat-trends-technology-october-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-september-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-august-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-july-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-june-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-may-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/special-supplement-meat-alternatives-may-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-april-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/meatpoultry-march-2021
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2021_02_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2021_01_01
https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_12_01
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https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2020_08_01
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https://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2019_12_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_12_01
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http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_05_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_04_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2018_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2018_02_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2018_01_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2017_12_01
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2015_01_01_mp
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https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mp/2010_09_01
http://digital.meatpoultry.com/sosland/mp/2010_08_01
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